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Analyst: Microsoft Zune with fake scroll wheel ‘hardly an Apple iPod killer’
Thursday, September 14, 2006 - 02:59 PM EST

"I spent some time recently with the Zune as well as the Zune team and here's what we know about the device and service," analyst Michael Gartenberg blogs for JupiterResearch.

"The Device – Take a dash of Toshiba Gigabeat, add an updated version of Portable Media Center Software (PMC isn't dead, it's just gone to a better place), add in WiFi and you pretty much have Zune. It's a little bigger and thicker than a 5G 60gb iPod and barely pocketable. Like iPod, the battery isn't removable. The case is a plastic and the overall fit and finish seem more durable and less scratch prone than the iPod. Three colors at launch, White, Black and Brown. Yep, Brown. Control is with a D-Pad disguised as a scroll wheel. This was apparent every time someone showed a unit and said, it looks like a scroll wheel but it's not, it's a D-Pad. *sigh*. Overall, not bad but hardly an iPod killer," Gartenberg writes.

"The key differentiator is the sharing feature. I can share any song on the device to any other device in range. DRM content or plain MP3s but don't get too excited. I can share the same song with the same device only once and it can be played three times or expires after three days, whichever comes first," Gartenberg writes.

"Pricing – Unkown at this time for either device or the store. Expect this to come in priced at what a 30gb media player with WiFi should go for. Likewise, store downloads will likely reflect market prices (if there's above $.99 there's an issue and no real benefit below $.99 unless they really want to lose money with $.50 pricing). Purchases will be via points (similar to and interchangeable with Xbox live points). No word on whether pricing will be variable or not," Gartenberg writes,

"The Service – The same two million songs we've come to know and love available for single song purchase. There's also going to be an option for subscription pricing (similar to what's offered with Plays for Sure services like Napster or Rhapsody) both types of files can be shared. Also, it's a music only experience. The device will play non DRM WMV video but there are no video offerings from Microsoft for now," Gartenberg writes.

"Overall from what I saw, Zune isn't an iPod killer but it does offer some compelling features that Apple currently lacks. It still looks like short term market share will come from other device vendors, not Apple. The question is, will it matter? Apple's done a good job of keeping the market focused on their features even when competitors have offered better specs, at least on paper. It's not clear how Microsoft will counter the ability of Steve Jobs to control the message to the market," Gartenberg writes.

"What about battery life? To really get use of the sharing feature, you need to leave wireless on and that will clearly hit battery life. While we know more, it's still a little too early to make a call here. One reason Apple has succeeded is by showing attention to minute details that add up. This is going to be an important lesson for Microsoft to emulate if they want to achieve parity, much less move beyond iPod. Bear in mind that this is a marathon, not a sprint and how Zune does in Q4 doesn't really matter. The key will be how fast they can iterate, rev, and seize control of the message and the marketing. Or, cede control of digital media to Apple," Gartenberg writes.

Full article here.

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Related articles:
Analyst: Microsoft Zune won’t spoil Apple’s biggest iPod Christmas ever - September 14, 2006
Microsoft unveils Zune 30GB player, Zune Marketplace; declines to disclose prices - September 14, 2006
Microsoft sees room in music player market for ‘Zune’ to challenge Apple’s dominant iPod - September 06, 2006
Analyst: Microsoft’s Zune an ‘underwhelming’ repackaged Toshiba Gigabeat; no threat to Apple iPod - August 30, 2006
Microsoft confirms brick-like Zune to be made by Toshiba - August 25, 2006
Microsoft Zune is chunky brick made by Toshiba - August 25, 2006
Microsoft to spend hundreds of millions, several years on Zune trying to catch Apple iPod+iTunes - July 27, 2006
Zune: Apple cannot lose. Microsoft cannot win. - July 26, 2006

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Sep 14, 06 - 02:11 pm Comment from: Jack

http://www.engadget.com/2006/09/14/microsoft-launches-the-zune/

Sep 14, 06 - 02:14 pm Comment from: ?what?

He gets it!

Sep 14, 06 - 02:20 pm Comment from: JohnE

It's not a D-Pad...it's a DOA-Pad

Sep 14, 06 - 02:21 pm Comment from: Reality Check

"The key will be how fast they can iterate, rev, and seize control of the message and the marketing. Or, cede control of digital media to Apple."

Umm, I think it's quite safe to say that has already happened. It's now up to M$ to attempt to steal that control away from Apple.

Sep 14, 06 - 02:38 pm Comment from: Eric

Only way Microsoft will make money on these is to bundle it with a subscription service. Essentially, like $120 for a year of subscription music and you get a Zune. People might go for that. After the year, you jack the price to $14 a month or $120 a year or something.

Not that I would do it.....

Sep 14, 06 - 02:51 pm Comment from: sweet

"I can share the same song with the same device only once and it can be played three times or expires after three days, whichever comes first"

I call that social networking at its very lowest level. Too bad the embedded viruses your are sure to get won't expire until they infect your OS.

Sep 14, 06 - 02:58 pm Comment from: Digid

Sounds like brown might be an appropriate color for this thing. Any hardware from Microsoft will be short lived. They could not even make in the wireless networking market. The only good hardware they have ever created are mice and keyboards. Everything else has been discontinued in a very short time.

Sep 14, 06 - 03:00 pm Comment from: Shi comes in color everywhere. Stones

Here is where MS is purported to have dond their marketing research:


http://www.afraidtoask.com/bowel/color.html

Sep 14, 06 - 03:10 pm Comment from: LordRobin

Jack: Heh, that Engadget article is amusing for the comments from people who are turned on by this thing. Oooh, the screen is a half-inch bigger. Someone pointed out that the screen is QVGA, which means it's not widescreen and has the same 320x240 resolution as the iPod, just on a bigger screen, which will likely make the picture look less sharp.

Sep 14, 06 - 03:11 pm Comment from: Anim8r

"This is going to be an important lesson for Microsoft to emulate if they want to achieve parity, much less move beyond iPod."

It would seem the only thing Microsoft is really capable of is parroty behaviour.

AND BROWN?

JEEZ!

Sep 14, 06 - 03:20 pm Comment from: Synthmeister

Reminds me of that old joke…

Looks like a turd,
smells like a turd,
feels like a turd.

Sure glad I didn't step in it!

Sep 14, 06 - 03:27 pm Comment from: Jack

To all hackers, how long will it take you to hack the Zune software?

Sep 14, 06 - 04:07 pm Comment from: Bill

Shit, I gotta get me one of those brown jobbies, that's my colour.

yeeeepppp

Sep 14, 06 - 04:26 pm Comment from: macaholic

Brown, the colour of toast
Zune, the new word for toast

Sep 14, 06 - 05:03 pm Comment from: GmanMac

For the WiFi feature to be of any limited use at all then, you have to know someone else that has a Zune.

Hey man, check out my new Zune. Ugh yeah what's it do my iPod doesn't do better. WiFi dude. Cool what can you connect it to?

Another Zune user.

<>

Sep 14, 06 - 05:28 pm Comment from: NewType

1) What are the chances that any particular Zune user will come within range of another Zune user to take advantage of the sharing feature?

2) If two Zune users do come within sharing distance (by whatever miracle), what are the chances that both will be listening to their Zunes at the same time?

3) What are the chances that hackers will see the sharing features as an invitation to party on someone else's Zune? Perhaps load it up with a trojan horse that will install itself the next time the Zune's owner syncs up with his Windows box?

Sep 14, 06 - 05:31 pm Comment from: NewType

By the way, I would imagine it would be trivial to disguise a trojan or virus as a WMA that is freely picked up by other Zunes, that executes as soon as the infected Zunes are attached to a Windows box.

Sep 14, 06 - 06:26 pm Comment from: Ardie

Zune needs to come with a free backpack to haul it around.

Sep 14, 06 - 06:30 pm Comment from: Big Al

Once you have your Zune you must travel to Redmond to share music with Microsofties. Surely some of them will get one and use it on their way to work.

Sep 14, 06 - 06:41 pm Comment from: ken1w

I feel bad for MS employees. They'll be forced to give up their iPods and use a Zune instead. Maybe the MacBU can have an exemption.

Sep 14, 06 - 08:10 pm Comment from: LinuxGuy and Mac Prodigal Son

A fake scroll wheel is a typical example of what a cargo cult is. Google it -- hilarious!

Sep 14, 06 - 09:24 pm Comment from: b

I don't think it's a marathon. MS investors are sick of "long term" strateges that have no guarantee to pay off. They are seeing the fruits of such strateges in the continual delays in Vista.

Sep 14, 06 - 11:28 pm Comment from: Jack

Bring on the Zune I say. The more money and time MS wastes the better.

mw = growth. hmmm....

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