MarketWatch: BlackBerry-maker Research In Motion looks vulnerable to Apple iPhone 3G
Tuesday, July 29, 2008 - 08:39 AM EDT BlackBerry-maker Research In Motion's (RIM) "investors seem worried," Therese Poletti reports for MarketWatch. "RIM's high-flying shares have sold off more than 20% since peaking above $148 in mid-June. The stock took a sharp dip on the week that Apple launched its much-more competitive, lower-cost 3G iPhone on July 11.""Adding more pressure to the stock are reports from the blogosphere about problems with a new touch-screen BlackBerry -- a product that the Waterloo, Ontario-based company has never even officially announced. But the touch-screen BlackBerry is real enough to RIM's shareholders and to Wall Street, where many analysts already have baked the release of the product into the company's outlook. On Monday, a RIM spokeswoman declined to comment on rumors," Poletti reports.
"In short, rumors about a product the company has never even claimed to have are contributing to a sell-off that's wiped out about $14 billion of its market value," Poletti reports. "'RIM's counting on new iPhone look-alikes to stem the tide,' wrote Charlie Wolf, a Needham & Co. analyst who downgraded RIM to a sell rating two weeks ago. 'While these models should enjoy some success, they have no hope of matching the secret sauce of the iPhone -- the tight integration of hardware and software that creates a unique user experience.'"
Poletti reports, "RIM and Apple appear to be on a collision course. Apple's new 3G iPhone now presents an even greater threat to RIM and its hard-core corporate users... The latest version of the iPhone software has more corporate-friendly functions in a sleeker package.... Apple Chief Executive Steve Jobs has taken pains to single out the BlackBerry directly -- and publicly -- as his main target in the push to expand the user base of the iPhone."
"It is not a coincidence that one sharp drop in Research In Motion's stock came a few days after news that Apple sold 1 million units in the first weekend of 3G iPhone sales," Poletti reports. "The device continues to sell like hotcakes. Stores are still drawing long lines, with many selling out on a daily basis."
More in the full article here.
[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader "Brawndo Drinker" for the heads up.]
MacDailyNews Take: The two guys running RIM, Mike Lazaridis and Jim Balsillie, did a fine job when all they had to compete against was a market mired in mediocrity (at best). They won't fare nearly as well against a leader of Steve Jobs' caliber and a company that's relentlessly out-innovating, remaking, and, frankly, shaming, the entire mobile device industry.
What Apple is doing to the likes of RIM is sad in a way, but it's also exhilarating, as it's necessary for real progress. This is what happens when the paradigm is forcibly shifted by an individual entity. The rest are left frozen, like deer in the headlights. Eventually they scamper away and begin to churn out weak iPhone lookalikes-not-workalikes.
Desperate moves like that are only going to lead the likes of RIM to failure (see: iPod also-rans). The best for which these newly-derivative (thanks to Apple) companies like RIM can hope is to end up with a nonsustaining user base that is firmly entrenched on the left side of the bell curve. Note to RIM et al.: Those who are unable to distinguish between a real iPhone and a pretend one are much more likely to have far less disposable income than those who can.

What the street does to companies on rumors is stupid. This crap happens to Apple all the time.